Predictive Ecology

This part of the website is intended to hold the databases and updated functions that we develop as our project to produce genuinely predictive ecological models progresses.

Sequoiadendron giganteum, in Sequoia National Park

This project is a response to both the general observation that ecology tends to be descriptive not predictive, and the specific perceived need to provide predictive models to allow answers to legitimate questions around the impact of environmental change on the natural world.

The various functions can be found here.

The databases can be found here.

We have developed a side interest in understanding the problem of Bovine Tuberculosis and how to control this disease. Bovine TB is a serious problem in the UK and is a disease shared between at least two hosts – cattle and badgers. Modelling should assist us in understanding how the disease is spread and how it might be controlled. We aim to help this process.